odds-2
Original: odds-2 on Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal
Transcript
Panel 1:
Two people stand on a rooftop ledge high above a dark city street, between two tall buildings. A woman with red hair, a blue top, and a long skirt gestures toward a man dressed in dark clothing with a yellow shirt who is standing near the edge.
Woman (speech bubble): BASE-JUMPING IS NOT DANGEROUS. A RANDOM PERSON IS TEN MILLION TIMES MORE LIKELY TO GET KILLED DOING OLD AGE THAN BASE-JUMPING.
Caption (below panel): Weekend activity: Murdering people with statistics.
Votey:
A close-up of the same red-haired woman's face, drawn in loose sketchy lines, looking pleased/intense.
Woman (speech bubble): BAYESIANISM SAYS EVERY TIME YOU SURVIVE SOMETHING, THE NEXT TIME YOU DO IT IS SAFER. SO GO NUTS!
Two people stand on a rooftop ledge high above a dark city street, between two tall buildings. A woman with red hair, a blue top, and a long skirt gestures toward a man dressed in dark clothing with a yellow shirt who is standing near the edge.
Woman (speech bubble): BASE-JUMPING IS NOT DANGEROUS. A RANDOM PERSON IS TEN MILLION TIMES MORE LIKELY TO GET KILLED DOING OLD AGE THAN BASE-JUMPING.
Caption (below panel): Weekend activity: Murdering people with statistics.
Votey:
A close-up of the same red-haired woman's face, drawn in loose sketchy lines, looking pleased/intense.
Woman (speech bubble): BAYESIANISM SAYS EVERY TIME YOU SURVIVE SOMETHING, THE NEXT TIME YOU DO IT IS SAFER. SO GO NUTS!
Alt text
A single-panel comic shows two people standing on a rooftop ledge high above a dark, narrow city street between two tall buildings. A red-haired woman in a blue top and long skirt gestures toward a man in dark clothes with a yellow shirt who stands close to the edge. She says: "Base-jumping is not dangerous. A random person is ten million times more likely to get killed doing old age than base-jumping." A caption beneath reads: "Weekend activity: Murdering people with statistics." The joke: she's using a deliberately misleading statistic to talk someone into a deadly stunt. The votey aftercomic is a sketchy close-up of the woman's face as she adds: "Bayesianism says every time you survive something, the next time you do it is safer. So go nuts!" -- doubling down with bad probability reasoning.
Transcribed by Claude Opus 4.8.