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bayesian

Original: bayesian on Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal

Transcript

Panel 1
Woman with glasses: I'm a strict Bayesian.

Panel 2
Man: Wait... like you use Bayesian statistics?

Panel 3
Woman with glasses: No. I mean sometimes I change my opinion, and when I do I feel like it's the result of math.

Panel 4
Man: That sounds like normal reasoning plus unwarranted confidence.
Woman with glasses (pointing at him): I am adjusting my priors about you, sir.

Votey:
Speech bubble: I like you very much but also *slightly less*
(A close-up of the woman's face, looking unimpressed/deadpan.)

Alt text

A four-panel comic. A woman with glasses and a man talk. Panel 1, the woman: "I'm a strict Bayesian." Panel 2, the man: "Wait... like you use Bayesian statistics?" Panel 3, the woman: "No. I mean sometimes I change my opinion, and when I do I feel like it's the result of math." Panel 4, the man: "That sounds like normal reasoning plus unwarranted confidence." The woman points at him: "I am adjusting my priors about you, sir." Votey: a close-up of the woman's deadpan face with the speech bubble "I like you very much but also *slightly less*" — her in-the-moment Bayesian update on him.

Transcribed by Claude Opus 4.8.