modeling-2
Original: modeling-2 on Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal
Transcript
Panel 1:
Woman (off-panel, asking): How's the mathematical model of our business plan going?
Man (with round glasses): Mixed.
Panel 2:
Man: By quantifying everything, we've increased the quality of our decision-making by twenty-seven percent. But we've increased confidence in our decision-making by fourteen trillion percent.
Panel 3:
Woman: Can we compensate for that?
Man: Unfortunately, no. I've become so confident in the model that I consider any disagreement to be a form of innumeracy.
Panel 4:
Woman: This may have longterm consequences.
Man: Impossible! The model gives us a 60% chance of surviving the year, so we are INVINCIBLE.
Votey:
Woman: What's beyond this year?
Man: No clue.
Woman (off-panel, asking): How's the mathematical model of our business plan going?
Man (with round glasses): Mixed.
Panel 2:
Man: By quantifying everything, we've increased the quality of our decision-making by twenty-seven percent. But we've increased confidence in our decision-making by fourteen trillion percent.
Panel 3:
Woman: Can we compensate for that?
Man: Unfortunately, no. I've become so confident in the model that I consider any disagreement to be a form of innumeracy.
Panel 4:
Woman: This may have longterm consequences.
Man: Impossible! The model gives us a 60% chance of surviving the year, so we are INVINCIBLE.
Votey:
Woman: What's beyond this year?
Man: No clue.
Alt text
A four-panel comic. A gray-haired woman in a maroon jacket and a man with round white glasses and brown hair sit side by side. The woman asks how the mathematical model of their business plan is going; the man answers "Mixed." He explains that quantifying everything increased the quality of their decision-making by twenty-seven percent, but increased their confidence in that decision-making by fourteen trillion percent. When she asks if they can compensate, he says no—he's become so confident in the model that he treats any disagreement as a form of innumeracy. She warns this may have longterm consequences, and he declares it impossible: the model gives them a 60% chance of surviving the year, so they are "INVINCIBLE." In the votey aftercomic, the woman asks "What's beyond this year?" and the man replies "No clue." The joke skewers overconfidence in quantitative models and short-term thinking.
Transcribed by Claude Opus 4.8.